DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Sarnia-Lambton


In this model, Sarnia-Lambton would remain a single-member riding.



Ontario provincial election - 2003


Sarnia-Lambton - Actual results Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Other Total
Votes received 18,179 11,852 6,482 1,414 0 316 38,243
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 47.54% 30.99% 16.95% 3.70% 0.00% 0.83% 100%
Distortion +52.46 -30.99 -16.95 -3.70 0 -0.83 52.46

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, the riding elected a Liberal MPP.

Under the existing voting system, 47.54% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 52.46% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 47.54% of the voters in Sarnia-Lambton would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, another 51.63% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

Only 0.83% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would have been wasted.

Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21



Canadian federal election - 2000


Sarnia-Lambton - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Votes received 19,329 11,208 3,320 2,735 514 814 37,920
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 50.97% 29.56% 8.76% 7.21% 1.36% 2.15% 100%
Distortion +49.03 -29.56 -8.76 -7.21 -1.36 -2.15 49.03

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, the riding elected a Liberal MP.

Under the existing voting system, 50.97% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 49.03% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 50.97% of the voters in Sarnia-Lambton would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, another 46.88% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

Only 2.15% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would have been wasted.

Simulated Ontario compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21



DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator