DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator

Huron-Bruce


In this model, Huron-Bruce would remain a single-member riding.



Ontario provincial election - 2003

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Huron-Bruce - Actual results Ontario provincial election 2003
  Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Other Total
Votes received 19,879 16,594 4,973 934 902 127 43,409
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 45.79% 38.23% 11.46% 2.15% 2.08% 0.29% 100%
Distortion +54.21 -38.23 -11.46 -2.15 -2.08 -0.29 54.21

In the 2003 Ontario provincial election, the riding elected a Liberal MPP.

Under the existing voting system, 45.79% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 54.21% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 45.79% of the voters in Huron-Bruce would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, another 53.92% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

Only 0.29% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MPP, and therefore would have been wasted.

Simulated compensatory list seats - Ontario provincial election 2003
Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Green Family Total
6 8 2 4 1 21



Canadian federal election - 2000


Huron-Bruce - Actual results Canadian federal election 2000
  Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Other Total
Votes received 21,547 10,343 8,138 2,669 0 474 43,171
Seats won 1 0 0 0 0 0 1
Seat % 100% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100%
Vote % 49.91% 23.96% 18.85% 6.18% 0.00% 1.10% 100%
Distortion +50.09 -23.96 -18.85 -6.18 0 -1.10 50.09

In the 2000 Canadian federal election, the riding elected a Liberal MP.

Under the existing voting system, 49.91% of the voters got the representative they voted for.

The other 50.09% of the votes were wasted.



In our model, we assume that the Liberal would still have won the riding.

Under this model, 49.91% of the voters in Huron-Bruce would still have gotten the local representative they voted for.

However, another 48.99% of the voters would know that their vote had helped to elect provincial list members, so they too would have representation.

Only 1.10% of the votes cast would not have helped to elect an MP, and therefore would have been wasted.

Simulated Ontario compensatory list seats - Canadian federal election 2000
Liberal Canadian Alliance Progressive Conservative NDP Green Total
0 9 6 5 1 21



DEMOCRACY The Amazing Proportional Representation Simulator